4 cedis to 1 dollar by December 2016
The ghanian cedi is to said to sell at 4 cedis per dollatr according to a report by an Accra-published report by GN Research.
“We
estimate the cedi to be sold at GHC4.00, GHC5.04 and GHC4.43 to the US
dollar, British pound and Euro respectively by the end of year.”
“Going
forward, we expect the revamp in world crude oil prices, inflows from
the US$750 million Eurobond, US$1.8 billion cocoa syndicated loan,
US$116.2 million third tranche support from the IMF and the ongoing
US$50 million USD-denominated domestic bond issuance among others, to
offer some respite to the cedi ahead of the December polls.”
Comparing
the trend from previous election years to this year the report added
that it is estimated that the cedi will depreciate marginally by some
0.65% to the US dollar, but appreciate by some 2.20% and 0.64% to the
sterling and euro respectively by year-end.
The report stated that the cedi did not depreciate against major trading currencies in the third quarter of 2016.
“The
cedi recorded a marginal cumulative depreciation of 0.66% and 1.56% to
the US dollar and euro respectively within the third quarter of 2016
(Q32016). However, the cedi posted some gains of 2.04% against the
sterling in Q32016.”
“In
comparison with other African currencies, the cedi performed better
than the Nigerian naira, Rwandan franc, Namibian dollars, Tunisian dinar
and the Zambian kwacha during the third quarter of 2016 as prices of
major exporting commodities traded lower. Nevertheless, the Mauritius
rupee, Moroccan dirham, Botswana pula, South African rand and Tanzanian
shilling posted better results than the Ghana cedi,” the report added.
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